
July 8th, 2026
What’s Up With Rates?

The rate market gave back some ground this week.
The 10-year Treasury has moved up to around 4.54%, and mortgage bonds have weakened, which usually means mortgage rates feel a little more pressure. Not a meltdown, not a celebration. Just the bond market doing bond market things, which is apparently being annoying.
The latest concern is oil. Reports of renewed attacks near the Strait of Hormuz have pushed some uncertainty back into the market. When oil prices rise, the market starts worrying about inflation again, and inflation is one of the biggest drivers of mortgage rates.
The interesting part is that the housing data still looks better than most people think. Home values rose 0.6% in May, are up 0.8% year over year, and Cotality is forecasting another 4.8% appreciation over the next year.
That matters for buyers.
A lot of people are sitting around waiting for rates to magically drop, but home prices are not exactly waiting with them. If values continue climbing, the “I’ll wait” strategy can quietly get more expensive.
Jobs data is showing some signs of slowing, which could help rates later if the trend continues. But for now, the market is focused on oil, inflation risk, and the 10-year Treasury pushing higher.
The Realtor takeaway:
This is the market where buyers need clarity, not fear. Rates may be higher than anyone wants, but home values are still holding up. The agents who can explain the full picture, payment, appreciation, timing, and opportunity, are the ones who will keep buyers moving instead of letting them freeze on the sidelines.
— Brooks
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The Listing Conversation Agents Should Be Having Earlier
A lot of homeowners are not saying they want to sell right now.
That does not mean they are not thinking about it.
They may be outgrowing their home.
They may want a different school district.
They may need more space.
They may want less space.
They may be sitting on a lot of equity but feel stuck because of today’s market.
That is the opportunity.
Many potential sellers are not raising their hand because they do not fully understand their options. They assume moving will be too expensive, too stressful, too complicated, or not worth it with where rates are today.
So they stay put.
Not because they are certain.
Because they are uncertain.
This is where agents can create listing opportunities before the homeowner officially says, “I think we are ready to sell.”
Instead of waiting for obvious seller leads, start having softer homeowner conversations earlier.
Try asking:
“Does your current home still fit the way your life looks today?”
That question opens the door without making it feel like a sales pitch.
From there, you can help them think through the bigger picture:
What is their home likely worth today?
How much equity might they have?
What would they want in their next home?
Would they need to sell first?
Could they buy before selling?
Would a temporary buydown help with payment comfort?
Could seller concessions on the next home make the move easier?
Would keeping the current home as a rental make sense?
What would the monthly payment actually look like?
What is the cost of waiting if prices keep moving?
Most homeowners have not had someone walk them through those questions in a simple way.
And that is the point.
You do not need to pressure someone into listing. You need to help them understand whether moving is actually possible.
That is also why it helps to bring in the lender early.
A good lender can help map out the numbers, payment options, equity strategy, cash needed, and timing before the homeowner gets overwhelmed or talks themselves out of it.
For some clients, that may include a buy-before-you-sell option. We have products that work better than anything I have ever seen for those scenarios, and for the right homeowner, they can create options most people do not even know exist.
But the bigger play is not one product.
The bigger play is helping homeowners see a path.
The agents who win more listings this year may not be the ones waiting for obvious seller leads. They may be the ones helping homeowners understand their options before they ever become active sellers.
Start the conversation earlier.
Ask better questions.
Bring in the lender sooner.
A homeowner who understands their path forward is a lot more likely to take the next step.
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